TY  - BOOK
AU  - Taleb,Nassim Nicholas
TI  - The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable 
SN  - 9780141034591 (pbk)
AV  - Q375 .T35 2010
U1  - 003.54 22
PY  - 2010///
CY  - London
PB  - Penguin
KW  - Uncertainty (Information theory)
KW  - Social aspects
KW  - Forecasting
N1  - Includes bibliographical references and index
N2  - What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover
ER  -