TY - BOOK AU - Harding,Don AU - Pagan,A.R. TI - The econometric analysis of recurrent events in macroeconomics and finance T2 - The Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes lectures SN - 0691167087 AV - HB141 .H368 2016 U1 - 330.01/5195 23 PY - 2016///] CY - Princeton, New Jersey PB - Princeton University Press KW - Business cycles KW - Econometric models KW - Macroeconomics KW - Mathematical models KW - Econometrics KW - fast KW - Cicli economici KW - Modelli econometrici KW - Economics KW - ukslc N1 - Includes bibliographical references (pages 187-203) and index; Overview -- Methods for describing oscillations, fluctuations, and cycles in univariate series -- Constructing reference cycles with multivariate information -- Model-based rules for describing recurrent events -- Measuring recurrent event features in univariate data -- Measuring synchronization of recurrent events in multivariate data -- Accounting for observed cycle features with a range of statistical models -- Using the recurrent event binary states to examine economic modeling issues -- Predicting turning points and recessions ER -