000			01521cam a2200313Ma 4500
001			u10157
003			SA-PMU
005			20210418123014.0
008			080526s2010 enk g b 001 0 eng
040			_aAU@ _beng _cAU@ _dOCLCO
020			_a9780141034591 (pbk)
020			_a0141034599 (pbk)
035			_a(OCoLC)664582708
050			_aQ375 _b.T35 2010
082	0	4	_a003.54 _222
100	1		_aTaleb, Nassim Nicholas.
245	1	4	_aThe black swan : _bthe impact of the highly improbable / _cNassim Nicholas Taleb.
246	3	0	_aImpact of the highly improbable
250			_a2nd ed.
260			_aLondon : _bPenguin, _c2010.
300			_axxxiii, 444 p. ; _c20 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
520			_aWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover.
650		0	_aUncertainty (Information theory) _xSocial aspects.
650		0	_aForecasting.
942			_cBOOK
994			_aZ0 _bSUPMU
596			_a2
999			_c1087 _d1087