Taleb, Nassim Nicholas.
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Impact of the highly improbable Nassim Nicholas Taleb. - 2nd ed. - London : Penguin, 2010. - xxxiii, 444 p. ; 20 cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover.
9780141034591 (pbk) 0141034599 (pbk)
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects.
Forecasting.
Q375 / .T35 2010
003.54
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Impact of the highly improbable Nassim Nicholas Taleb. - 2nd ed. - London : Penguin, 2010. - xxxiii, 444 p. ; 20 cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover.
9780141034591 (pbk) 0141034599 (pbk)
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects.
Forecasting.
Q375 / .T35 2010
003.54