The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

By: Taleb, Nassim NicholasMaterial type: TextTextPublisher: London : Penguin, 2010Edition: 2nd edDescription: xxxiii, 444 p. ; 20 cmISBN: 9780141034591 (pbk); 0141034599 (pbk)Other title: Impact of the highly improbableSubject(s): Uncertainty (Information theory) -- Social aspects | ForecastingDDC classification: 003.54 LOC classification: Q375 | .T35 2010Summary: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover.
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Q375 .T35 2010 (Browse shelf (Opens below)) 1 Available STACKS 51952000190189

Includes bibliographical references and index.

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty."--Cover.

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